Sectors / AI Infrastructure

Compute is the
new oil.

Hyperscaler capex is the single biggest spend on Earth that nobody outside the industry talks about. R2A tracks 49 names across compute, networking, memory, power, and cooling — the picks and shovels of the AI buildout.

49
Names covered
14
Buy calls
27
Hold
5
Private comps
AI compute stack — apps, cloud, networking, silicon, power

The Thesis

The AI capex cycle isn't a 12-month phenomenon — it's a multi-year buildout that compounds. Every dollar spent on training creates more demand for compute downstream at inference. NVIDIA gets the headlines, but the supply chain runs much deeper: custom silicon at Broadcom and Marvell, memory at Micron, networking at Arista and Ciena, power and cooling at Vertiv and Modine, and the data center real estate underneath all of it.

R2A's variant view: this cycle ends differently than past hardware cycles because the customers are the most cash-rich companies in history. Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta, and Amazon will spend roughly $320B on capex in 2026, almost entirely from operating cash flow — no debt cycle, no credit constraint. That insulates the buildout from the usual reversal mechanism. The pickaxe sellers benefit until the buyers stop, and the buyers aren't going to stop on financing grounds. The right side of this page (the holds) has already re-rated; the left side (the buys) is where R2A still sees multiple expansion.

The Names

All Buy Hold Silicon Networking Power
NVDA
Hold Conviction High
NVIDIA · GPU / Accelerators
The reference platform for AI compute. Blackwell ramp is the next leg. Multiple already prices a lot in, but unit demand keeps surprising upward.
Scenario range
$120$234$320$420
BearBaseBullMoon
Last price$198.45
R2A fair value$234
AVGO
Buy Conviction High
Broadcom · Custom Silicon / Networking
The "everything else" silicon company. Custom ASICs for hyperscalers, networking switches, plus VMware. Less news, more compounding.
Scenario range
$300$470$560$680
BearBaseBullMoon
Last price$430.12
R2A fair value$470
ALAB
Buy Conviction High
Astera Labs · AI Connectivity Silicon
The plumbing inside the rack — retimers, optical interconnect, fabric chips. Tiny company by name, structural beneficiary of every accelerator shipped.
Scenario range
$130$292$480$850
BearBaseBullMoon
Last price$218.05
R2A fair value$292
CRWV
Buy Conviction High
CoreWeave · AI Cloud Infrastructure
GPU-first cloud. Pure-play exposure to AI compute demand without the cost of being a hyperscaler. Concentrated customer base is both the moat and the risk.
Scenario range
$60$183$310$500
BearBaseBullMoon
Last price$128.28
R2A fair value$183
ANET
Buy Conviction Medium
Arista Networks · Data Center Networking
The switching standard inside hyperscaler data centers. Every accelerator needs a network around it, and Arista sells the network.
Scenario range
$110$176$225$290
BearBaseBullMoon
Last price$172.76
R2A fair value$176
MU
Hold Conviction Medium
Micron · Memory / HBM
High-bandwidth memory is the second silicon every accelerator needs. Cyclical business, but the cycle inflected and Micron is participating.
Scenario range
$300$458$620$720
BearBaseBullMoon
Last price$542.21
R2A fair value$458

Full Coverage

Every name R2A tracks in AI Infrastructure. Click any column header to sort.

Ticker Company Call Conviction Last R2A FV Moon
ALAB
Astera Labs
AI Connectivity Silicon
Buy●●● High$218.05$292.15$850
APLD
Applied Digital
Bitcoin-to-AI hosting
Buy●●● High$33.55$48.00
AVGO
Broadcom
Custom Silicon / Networking
Buy●●● High$430.12$470.00$680
CLS
Celestica
AI Server ODM
Buy●●● High$420.24$432.00
CRWV
CoreWeave
AI Cloud Infrastructure
Buy●●● High$128.28$183.10$500
NBIS
Nebius Group
AI cloud (NVIDIA-backed)
Buy●●● High$154.49$170.00
TAO
Bittensor
DePIN AI Training
Buy●●● High$286.66
ANET
Arista Networks
Data Center Networking
Buy●● Medium$172.76$176.00$290
CORZ
Core Scientific
AI compute hosting
Buy●● Medium$20.35$25.00
INTC
Intel
IDM / Foundry
Buy●● Medium$99.62$93.00$150
IREN
IREN Limited
Bitcoin-to-AI cloud
Buy●● Medium$45.66$61.00
MRVL
Marvell Technology
Custom Silicon / Networking
Buy●● Medium$164.95$172.00$320
P
Everpure
AI Storage
Buy●● Medium$74.30$99.00$225
POWL
Powell Industries
Medium-voltage switchgear
Buy●● Medium$275.33$290.00
ASML
ASML
Semiconductor Equipment
Hold●●● High$1,427.02$1,565.00$2,200
KLAC
KLA Corporation
Semiconductor Equipment
Hold●●● High$1,726.26$1,830.00$2,500
NVDA
NVIDIA
GPU / Accelerators
Hold●●● High$198.45$234.00$420
TSM
TSMC
Semiconductor Fabrication
Hold●●● High$397.83$403.00$650
VRT
Vertiv Holdings
Power & Cooling
Hold●●● High$328.25$331.00$540
AEHR
Aehr Test Systems
Wafer-level test
Hold●● Medium$93.07$103.00
AMAT
Applied Materials
Semiconductor Equipment
Hold●● Medium$389.08$415.00$580
AMD
AMD
GPU / Accelerators
Hold●● Medium$360.54$288.00$600
ARM
ARM Holdings
Chip Architecture / IP
Hold●● Medium$211.18$208.00$380
CDNS
Cadence Design
EDA / Chip Design
Hold●● Medium$340.94$330.00$520
CIEN
Ciena
Optical Networking
Hold●● Medium$535.39$496.00$820
COHR
Coherent
Optical Components
Hold●● Medium$329.95$342.00$520
CRDO
Credo Technology
AI Connectivity / Optical
Hold●● Medium$184.38$177.00$320
LITE
Lumentum
AI Optical Components
Hold●● Medium$949.93$830.00$1,250
LRCX
Lam Research
Semiconductor Equipment
Hold●● Medium$256.72$285.00$420
MOD
Modine Manufacturing
Data Center Thermal
Hold●● Medium$266.81$252.00$420
MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems
Analog Power
Hold●● Medium$1,583.48$1,475.00$2,400
MTSI
MACOM Technology
RF / Optical Semi
Hold●● Medium$284.18$285.00$430
MU
Micron Technology
Memory / HBM
Hold●● Medium$542.21$458.00$720
ON
ON Semiconductor
Power Semis / SiC
Hold●● Medium$103.03$101.00$180
RNDR
Render Network
DePIN GPU Compute
Hold●● Medium$1.84
SMTC
Semtech
Analog / Optical
Hold●● Medium$107.81$109.00$200
SNPS
Synopsys
EDA / Chip Design
Hold●● Medium$489.02$478.00$750
SMCI
Super Micro Computer
AI Server / Rack
Hold●● Low$27.09$28.00$70
WOLF
Wolfspeed
SiC Wafers/Devices
Hold●● Low$38.88$33.00$90